000
ABPZ20 KNHC 131125
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT THU AUG 13 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A large but disorganized area of showers and thunderstorms centered
several hundred miles south of Acapulco, Mexico, is associated with
a tropical wave.  Environmental conditions are favorable for a
tropical cyclone to form from this system over the weekend or early
next week while it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph well
offshore the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

$$
Forecaster Avila