000
ABPZ20 KNHC 111736
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT TUE AUG 11 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Shower and thunderstorm activity has become better organized this
morning in association with an area of low pressure located about
1400 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula. While environmental conditions are expected to become
increasingly unfavorable for development, this system could become a
tropical depression later today or tonight while it moves westward
at around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent

A tropical wave located south of the coast of Guatemala and El
Salvador is producing an area of disorganized cloudiness and
showers. An area of low pressure is forecast to form in association
with this wave a few hundred miles south-southwest of the coast of
Mexico later this week. Environmental conditions should support
gradual development of the low by the weekend while it moves
west-northwestward at about 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent

$$
Forecaster Brennan