000
ABPZ20 KNHC 111135
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT TUE AUG 11 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure
located about 1400 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the
Baja California peninsula have increased since yesterday. However,
significant development of this system is unlikely due to
increasingly unfavorable upper-level winds while it moves westward
at around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

An area of low pressure is forecast to form a few hundred miles
south of Mexico in a few days. Environmental conditions should
support gradual development of this system by the weekend while it
moves west-northwestward at about 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent

$$
Forecaster Brennan