000
ABPZ20 KNHC 102312
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT MON AUG 10 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue in association with
an area of low pressure located about 1300 miles west-southwest of
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.  While the low
has recently become better defined, further development of this
system is unlikely due to increasingly unfavorable upper-level
winds while it moves westward at around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

An area of low pressure is forecast to form a few hundred miles
south of Mexico in a few days.  Environmental conditions should
support some development of this system by the weekend while it
moves west-northwestward at about 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent

$$
Forecaster Blake