000
ABPZ20 KNHC 052333
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT WED AUG 5 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure
located about 1425 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the
Baja California peninsula have become better organized during the
past 24 hours.  Environmental conditions are conducive for
additional development, and a tropical depression is likely to
form tonight or Thursday while the low moves westward to
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

A tropical wave located about 1100 miles south-southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing a large
area of disorganized cloudiness and showers.  Environmental
conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual development of
this system during the next several days while it moves
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

$$
Forecaster Brown/Roberts