000
ABPZ20 KNHC 212331
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT TUE JUL 21 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

An area of low pressure centered about 550 miles south-southwest of
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing a
large area of showers and thunderstorms. Strong upper-level winds
are still inhibiting the development of this low. However, only a
small decrease in those winds should result in the formation of a
tropical depression during the next day or so.  The system is
forecast to move toward the west-northwest or northwest at about 10
mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

$$
Forecaster Avila