000 ABPZ20 KNHC 111138 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 500 AM PDT SAT JUL 11 2015 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An area of low pressure located about 1200 miles southwest of the southern tip of Baja California Sur is moving north-northwestward at about 10 mph. Shower and thunderstorm activity continues to show signs of organization, and conditions are expected to be conducive for the development of a tropical depression during tonight or Sunday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent Satellite images indicate that showers and thunderstorms associated with a low pressure system located about 300 miles south-southeast of Acapulco, Mexico have become better organized and a tropical depression appears to be forming. If the current trend continues, advisories will be initiated on this system later this morning. Interests along the southern and southwestern coasts of Mexico should monitor the progress of this disturbance. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent $$ Forecaster Cangialosi