000
ABPZ20 KNHC 101135
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT FRI JUL 10 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Concentrated showers and thunderstorms associated with a low
pressure area centered about 1300 miles southwest of the southern
tip of Baja California Sur have become better organized during the
last 24 hours.  Further development is expected, and a tropical
depression will likely form over the weekend while the low moves
generally northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located south of the Gulf of
Tehuantepec are associated with a tropical wave and a weak area of
low pressure. Conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual
development over the next several days, and this system will likely
become a tropical depression later this weekend or early next week
while it moves generally west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain