000
ABPZ20 KNHC 100536 CCA
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT THU JUL 9 2015

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE:

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE AND A
BROAD LOW PRESSURE AREA CENTERED ABOUT 1200 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE
SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR HAVE INCREASED OVER THE LAST
24 HOURS.  CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT IS ANTICIPATED THROUGH THE WEEKEND,
AND THIS SYSTEM WILL LIKELY BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BY EARLY
NEXT WEEK WHILE IT MOVES GENERALLY NORTHWESTWARD.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...MEDIUM...40 PERCENT
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 5 DAYS...HIGH...80 PERCENT

DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED SOUTH OF GUATEMALA
AND SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE AND A
WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE. CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE CONDUCIVE
FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS, AND THIS SYSTEM
WILL LIKELY BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BY EARLY NEXT WEEK WHILE IT
MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD.
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...20 PERCENT
* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 5 DAYS...HIGH...80 PERCENT

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN