000
ABPZ20 KNHC 090500
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT WED JUL 8 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms centered about 1100 miles
south-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California Sur are
associated with a tropical wave and a broad low pressure area.
Gradual development is anticipated through the weekend, and this
system will likely become a tropical depression by early next week
while it moves west-northwestward or northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent

An area of low pressure is expected to form several hundred miles
south of the coast of southern Mexico late this week. Environmental
conditions are forecast to be conducive, and this system will likely
become a tropical depression by early next week while it moves
west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent

$$
Forecaster Blake