000
ABPZ20 KNHC 090003
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT WED JUL 8 2015

Corrected for system order

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms centered about 1100 miles
south-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California Sur are
associated with a tropical wave and a broad low pressure area.  Some
development of this system is anticipated through this weekend and
into early next week while it moves west-northwestward or
northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent

An area of low pressure is expected to form several hundred miles
south of the coast of southern Mexico later this week.
Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive, and this
system could become a tropical depression over the weekend while it
moves west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent

$$
Forecaster Blake