000 ABPZ20 KNHC 072335 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 500 PM PDT TUE JUL 7 2015 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms associated with a large area of low pressure located about 1075 miles east-southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii continue to show signs of organization. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for further development, and a tropical cyclone will likely form later tonight while the system moves west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph. The low is forecast to cross 140W longitude and move into the central Pacific basin later tonight. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent An area of low pressure is expected to form several hundred miles south of the coast of southern Mexico later this week. Some development of this system is possible by this weekend while the low moves west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent $$ Forecaster Stewart