000
ABPZ20 KNHC 050535
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT SAT JUL 4 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A well-defined low pressure area has been nearly stationary about
1125 miles east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands during the past
12 hours. Shower activity has decreased and remains displaced well
to the southeast of the center.  Although this low still has some
potential for development, upper-level winds are expected to prevent
formation after the weekend while the system drifts westward or
west-northwestward over the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
pressure centered about 1400 miles southwest of Cabo San Lucas
Mexico have changed little in organization this evening. However,
environmental conditions remain conducive for gradual development,
and a tropical depression is likely to form early next week while
the system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

$$
Forecaster Stewart