000
ABPZ20 KNHC 231743
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT SAT MAY 23 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Shower activity associated with an elongated area of low pressure
located about 1450 miles southwest of the southern tip of Baja
California has decreased during the past 24 hours.  However,
environmental conditions still appear conducive for gradual
development during the next couple of days while it moves west-
northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.  Thereafter, the system should move
over cooler water and into an area of less favorable upper-level
winds.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent

Shower activity associated with an area of low pressure located
about 1650 miles southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii has
become better organized over the past 24 hours.  Some additional
development is possible during the next day or two, and a tropical
depression could form during that time.  After that time,
development is not expected due to the proximity of the disturbance
to its northeast and north.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent

An area of low pressure may form early next week several hundred
miles south of the coast of Mexico.  Environmental conditions are
expected to be conducive for subsequent slow development of the
system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

$$
Forecaster Beven