000
ABPZ20 KNHC 230500
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT FRI MAY 22 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

An elongated area of low pressure located about 1400 miles
southwest of the southern tip of Baja California is producing a
large area of showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions
appear conducive for gradual development of this system during the
next few days while it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

Shower activity associated with an area of low pressure located
about 1600 miles southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii has changed
little in organization during the past several hours.  Some
development of this system is possible during the next day or so
while the low remains stationary.  After that time, development is
not expected due to the proximity of the disturbance to its
northeast.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi