000
ABPZ20 KNHC 211747
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT THU MAY 21 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A tropical wave located about 1200 miles south-southwest of
the southern tip of Baja California is producing a large area of
disorganized cloudiness and showers. This system has changed little
in organization since yesterday, and environmental conditions are
currently not conducive for development.  However, they are expected
to become conducive for some slow development over the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent

An area of low pressure has developed about 2000 miles southwest of
the southern tip of Baja California.  Environmental conditions are
expected to be conducive for gradual development of the system
during the next several days while the low moves slowly
northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent

$$
Forecaster Beven