000
ABPZ20 KNHC 150511
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT TUE OCT 14 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A broad area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles
south-southwest of the coast of Guatemala is producing a large
area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental
conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development
during the next few days, and this system has the potential to
become a tropical depression by late this week.  The low is
forecast to move slowly northwestward toward the coast of
southeastern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...60 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown