000
ABPZ20 KNHC 161737
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1000 AM PST SAT NOV 16 2013

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS NEAR SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO ARE
ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAKENING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED A FEW
HUNDRED MILES WEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO.  THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME
MUCH LESS ORGANIZED THIS MORNING...AND STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO INHIBIT DEVELOPMENT.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...
NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS...AND A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS WHILE IT MOVES NORTHEASTWARD AT 10
TO 15 MPH.  LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH
THIS SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN
MEXICO AT LEAST THROUGH TODAY.

&&

FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS
ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT...

HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN