000
ABPZ20 KNHC 300519
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT TUE OCT 29 2013

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES TROPICAL STORM
RAYMOND...LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE
SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA.

A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER HAS FORMED WELL SOUTH OF THE COAST
OF SOUTHERN MEXICO.  ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
GENERALLY CONDUCIVE FOR SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE DURING
THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS WHILE IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OR
NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...
10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 
48 HOURS...AND A MEDIUM CHANCE...50 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A 
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
 
&&

FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS
ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT...

HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO

$$
FORECASTER BROWN