000
ABPZ20 KNHC 052310
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT SAT OCT 5 2013

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

NUMEROUS BUT DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE IN
ASSOCIATION WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 775
MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS LOW IS POSSIBLE DURING THE
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS WHILE IT MOVES WESTWARD OR WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
AROUND 10 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A MEDIUM
CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 5 DAYS.

&&

FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS
ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT...

HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO

$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA