000
ABPZ20 KNHC 281140
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT SAT SEP 28 2013

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

A WEAK AND ELONGATED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED OFF THE
WEST-CENTRAL COAST OF MEXICO CONTINUES TO PRODUCE ONLY LIMITED
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY.  ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO BECOME LESS CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS...AND THE POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION
APPEARS TO BE DECREASING.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS
AND A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS WHILE MOVING GENERALLY WESTWARD AT 5 TO 10
MPH.  LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE STILL POSSIBLE NEAR THE WEST-CENTRAL
COAST OF MEXICO THROUGH SATURDAY.

&&

FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS
ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT...

HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN