000
ABPZ20 KNHC 280501
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT FRI SEP 27 2013

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

A WEAK AND ELONGATED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED OFF THE
WEST-CENTRAL COAST OF MEXICO IS PRODUCING LIMITED SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY.  ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
BECOME LESS CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT OVER THE WEEKEND...AND THE
POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION APPEARS TO BE DECREASING. 
THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AND A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS WHILE MOVING
GENERALLY WESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH.  LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE STILL
POSSIBLE NEAR THE WEST-CENTRAL COAST OF MEXICO THROUGH SATURDAY.

&&

FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS
ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT...

HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO

$$
FORECASTER BERG