000 ABPZ20 KNHC 271742 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1100 AM PDT FRI SEP 27 2013 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A WEAK AND ELONGATED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CONTINUES TO PRODUCE DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS NEAR THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WHILE THE LOW MOVES WESTWARD AT ABOUT 5 MPH...BUT UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME UNFAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT BY EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE... 20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AND A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE STILL POSSIBLE NEAR THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO FOR ANOTHER DAY OR TWO. && FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT... HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO $$ FORECASTER BEVEN