000
ABPZ20 KNHC 251746
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT WED SEP 25 2013

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED NEAR THE COAST OF SOUTH-CENTRAL
MEXICO CONTINUES TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AROUND 10 MPH. THIS
SYSTEM HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION THIS MORNING...AND
DEVELOPMENT IS NOT LIKELY DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...IN PART
DUE TO ITS PROXIMITY TO LAND. DEVELOPMENT APPEARS MORE LIKELY LATER
THIS WEEK AFTER THE LOW MOVES FARTHER OFFSHORE. THIS SYSTEM HAS A
LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS AND A MEDIUM CHANCE...50 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. REGARDLESS OF
DEVELOPMENT...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

&&
FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS
ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT...

HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN