000
ABPZ20 KNHC 251137
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT WED SEP 25 2013

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED NEAR THE COAST OF SOUTH-CENTRAL
MEXICO IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AROUND 10 MPH. SHOWER ACTIVITY
ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW REMAINS DISORGANIZED...AND DEVELOPMENT IS
NOT LIKELY DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS DUE TO ITS PROXIMITY TO
LAND. WHEN THE LOW MOVES AWAY FROM THE COAST OF MEXICO LATE THIS
WEEK...ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE GENERALLY
FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS
AND A HIGH CHANCE...60 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINS ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN
MEXICO DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

&&
FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS
ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT...

HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN