000
ABPZ20 KNHC 250538
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT TUE SEP 24 2013

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM EMBEDDED WITHIN AN ELONGATED SURFACE
TROUGH IS LOCATED JUST OFF THE COAST OF SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN
MEXICO. ONLY SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THE LOW IS EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS DUE TO INTERACTION WITH THE HIGH TERRAIN OF
MEXICO...BUT ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE
FAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT BY LATE WEEK AND OVER THE
WEEKEND.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AND A HIGH CHANCE...60
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. 
REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE POSSIBLE OVER
PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS.

&&
FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS
ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT...

HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO

$$
FORECASTER STEWART