000
ABPZ20 KNHC 242331
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT TUE SEP 24 2013

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

A SURFACE TROUGH IS LOCATED JUST OFF THE COAST OF SOUTHERN AND
SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO.  AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE COULD FORM IN THIS
AREA IN A COUPLE OF DAYS...BUT ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE NOT
EXPECTED TO BE FAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT UNTIL LATER
THIS WEEK.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING
A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AND A MEDIUM CHANCE...
40 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. 
REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE POSSIBLE OVER
PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS.

&&
FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS
ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT...

HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO

$$
FORECASTER BERG