000
ABPZ20 KNHC 161739
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT MON SEP 16 2013

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

A BROAD AND WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...THE REMNANTS OF MANUEL...IS
CENTERED NEAR LAS ISLAS MARIAS MEXICO. SHOWER ACTIVITY IS LIMITED
AND DISORGANIZED...AND ANY RE-DEVELOPMENT SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR
AS THE REMNANTS MOVE SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW
CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.  AFTER THAT...THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER
COOLER WATERS WHERE DEVELOPMENT IS UNLIKELY.  THE SYSTEM HAS A LOW
CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT FIVE DAYS.

&&

FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS
ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT...

HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN