000
ABPZ20 KNHC 161137
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT MON SEP 16 2013

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS ISSUED THE LAST ADVISORY ON THE
REMNANTS OF MANUEL...LOCATED OVER SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO.

CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO NEAR PUERTO
VALLARTA ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF MANUEL. THIS
DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OFFSHORE TODAY AND MOVE SLOWLY
NORTHWESTWARD TOWARD THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA IN AN
ENVIRONMENT WHERE SOME REDEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE. THIS DISTURBANCE
HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT FIVE DAYS.

TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.

&&

FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS
ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT...

HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN