000
ABPZ20 KNHC 120534
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT WED SEP 11 2013

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED JUST SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST OF THE
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS AND CLOSE
PROXIMITY TO LAND ARE EXPECTED TO INHIBIT SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT
DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS WHILE THIS DISTURBANCE DRIFTS NORTHWARD
TOWARD THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW
CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.  REGARDLESS OF
DEVELOPMENT...THIS SYSTEM...IN COMBINATION WITH ANOTHER DISTURBANCE
IN THE BAY OF CAMPECHE...COULD BRING HEAVY RAINS TO PORTIONS OF
EASTERN MEXICO FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.  THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

&&

FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS
ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT...

HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN