000
ABPZ20 KNHC 112320
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT WED SEP 11 2013

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED JUST SOUTH OF THE GULF OF 
TEHUANTEPEC IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.  STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS AND CLOSE PROXIMITY TO
LAND ARE EXPECTED TO INHIBIT SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT DURING THE
NEXT FEW DAYS WHILE THIS DISTURBANCE DRIFTS NORTHWARD TOWARD THE
COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS...AND A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.  REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...THIS
SYSTEM IN COMBINATION WITH ANOTHER DISTURBANCE EXPECTED TO BE IN
THE BAY OF CAMPECHE...WILL BRING HEAVY RAINS TO PORTIONS OF EASTERN
MEXICO FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.  THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

&&

FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS
ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT...

HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO

$$
FORECASTER BROWN