000
ABPZ20 KNHC 021735
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT MON SEP 2 2013

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
DEPRESSION KIKO...LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES WEST OF THE
SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. 

WIDESPREAD CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING FROM THE
SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO SOUTHWARD FOR SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES IS
ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE. SATELLITE PICTURES INDICATE THAT A
BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE HAS FORMED ALONG THE WAVE A COUPLE OF
HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO AND IS GRADUALLY BECOMING
BETTER DEFINED. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
CONDUCIVE FOR CONTINUED GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THE LOW...AND A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM IN 2 TO 3 DAYS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A
LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS...BUT A HIGH CHANCE...80 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS WHILE IT MOVES WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD AT AROUND 10 MPH.

&&

FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS
ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT...

HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN