000
ABPZ20 KNHC 021134
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT MON SEP 2 2013

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON RECENTLY
DOWNGRADED TROPICAL DEPRESSION KIKO...LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES
WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. 

OTHER SYSTEMS WITH FORMATION POTENTIAL BEYOND 48 HOURS...

A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING FROM THE
SOUTH-CENTRAL COAST OF MEXICO SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD FOR SEVERAL
HUNDRED MILES IS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE. A BROAD AREA OF
LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP ALONG THE WAVE OFF OF THE
SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO BY MIDWEEK...AND ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE CONDUCIVE FOR SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THE
LOW AT THAT TIME.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...
OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A
MEDIUM CHANCE...50 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING
THE NEXT 5 DAYS WHILE IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AROUND 10 MPH.

&&

FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS
ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT...

HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN