000
ABPZ20 KNHC 012335
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT SUN SEP 1 2013

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM KIKO...LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP
OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. 

TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

OTHER SYSTEMS WITH FORMATION POTENTIAL BEYOND 48 HOURS...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING FROM THE SOUTH-CENTRAL COAST OF MEXICO
SOUTHWARD FOR SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES.  A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
IS LIKELY TO FORM OFF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO BY
MIDWEEK...AND SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THE LOW IS POSSIBLE LATER IN
THE WEEK WHILE IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT AROUND 10 MPH.  THIS
SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A MEDIUM CHANCE...30
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.

&&

FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS
ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT...

HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO

$$
FORECASTER BERG