000
ABPZ20 KNHC 011748
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT SUN SEP 1 2013

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM KIKO...LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE
SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. 

TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

OTHER SYSTEMS WITH FORMATION POTENTIAL BEYOND 48 HOURS...

AN AREA OF WIDESPREAD CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING FROM
THE SOUTH-CENTRAL COAST OF MEXICO FOR SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES IS
ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE.  A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS
EXPECTED TO FORM ALONG THE WAVE BY MIDWEEK...AND ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO BE MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR SOME SLOW
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS LOW WHILE IT MOVES GENERALLY WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD AT AROUND 10 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...
NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 
48 HOURS...AND A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A 
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.

&&

FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS
ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT...

HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN