000
ABPZ20 KNHC 282344
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT WED AUG 28 2013

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON NEWLY FORMED
TROPICAL STORM JULIETTE...WHICH IS APPROACHING CABO SAN LUCAS ON
THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA.

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS LOCATED ABOUT 800 MILES SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA.
DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...OF THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO
OCCUR DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WHILE IT MOVES NORTHEASTWARD
OR NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW
CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO REACH COOLER WATERS IN
TWO TO THREE DAYS AND SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT AFTER THAT TIME IS
NOT EXPECTED. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT... OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.

SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED
ABOUT 1500 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED.
CONDITIONS ARE MARGINALLY FAVORABLE FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT OF
THIS SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.  THIS DISTURBANCE HAS A LOW
CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.

&&

FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS
ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT...

HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN