000
ABPZ20 KNHC 132303
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT TUE AUG 13 2013

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

AN ELONGATED TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED
SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ABOUT 1300 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF
THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS.  ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE TO BECOME LESS FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A LOW
CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 5 DAYS WHILE IT MOVES WESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH.

&&

FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013.  COMMENTS
ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT...

HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO

$$
FORECASTER STEWART