000
ABPZ20 KNHC 010537
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT WED JUL 31 2013

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
GIL...LOCATED ABOUT 1000 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
LOCATED ABOUT 750 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA HAVE DIMINISHED DURING THE PAST SEVERAL
HOURS.  ALTHOUGH THE PROXIMITY TO HURRICANE GIL REDUCES THE CHANCE
OF DEVELOPMENT...THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...50 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES
GENERALLY WESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

BEGINNING TOMORROW WITH THE 5 AM PDT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK...THE
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER WILL BEGIN INCLUDING INFORMATION ABOUT
THE POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION DURING THE FOLLOWING
FIVE DAYS.  THIS INFORMATION WILL BE PROVIDED PROBABILISTICALLY IN
10-PERCENT INCREMENTS...AND WILL SUPPLEMENT THE 48-HOUR
PROBABILISTIC FORMATION POTENTIAL ALREADY PROVIDED.  THE CURRENT
GRAPHICAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK THAT SHOWS THE 48-HOUR GENESIS
POTENTIAL WILL REMAIN UNCHANGED.  NHC IS CURRENTLY DEVELOPING A
FIVE-DAY GENESIS POTENTIAL GRAPHIC THAT MAY BECOME AVAILABLE LATER
IN THE SEASON.

$$
FORECASTER BERG