000
ABPZ20 KNHC 311733
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT WED JUL 31 2013

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM GIL...LOCATED WELL OFFSHORE OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF
MEXICO.

SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT
750 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED. ALTHOUGH THE PROXIMITY TO
TROPICAL STORM GIL MAKES THE DEVELOPMENT LESS LIKELY TO
OCCUR...THIS SYSTEM STILL HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES
GENERALLY WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

BEGINNING TOMORROW WITH THE 5 AM PDT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK...THE
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER WILL BEGIN INCLUDING INFORMATION ABOUT
THE POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION DURING THE FOLLOWING
FIVE DAYS.  THIS INFORMATION WILL BE PROVIDED PROBABILISTICALLY IN
10-PERCENT INCREMENTS...AND WILL SUPPLEMENT THE 48-HOUR
PROBABILISTIC FORMATION POTENTIAL ALREADY PROVIDED.  THE CURRENT
GRAPHICAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK THAT SHOWS THE 48-HOUR GENESIS
POTENTIAL WILL REMAIN UNCHANGED.  NHC IS CURRENTLY DEVELOPING A
FIVE-DAY GENESIS POTENTIAL GRAPHIC THAT MAY BECOME AVAILABLE LATER
IN THE SEASON.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA