000
ABPZ20 KNHC 282335
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT FRI JUN 28 2013

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE CENTERED ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO HAS
CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS. HOWEVER...
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT AND ONLY A SMALL
INCREASE IN THE ORGANIZATION OF THE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY WOULD RESULT IN THE FORMATION OF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION.
THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...80 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT BEGINS TO MOVE NORTHWARD AT
AROUND 5 MPH. 

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN