000
ABPZ20 KNHC 221734
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT SAT JUN 22 2013

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED ABOUT 300 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
ACAPULCO IS PRODUCING A LARGE BUT MOSTLY DISORGANIZED AREA OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST
TO BECOME FAVORABLE FOR A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO FORM DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...70 PERCENT...
OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS WHILE IT
MOVES WESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH.  

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED ABOUT 650 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF
THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS PRODUCING A SMALL AREA OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  SOME DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS
POSSIBLE BEFORE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS BECOME LESS CONDUCIVE IN A
DAY OR TWO.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS WHILE IT MOVES
ERRATICALLY.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE