000
ABPZ20 KNHC 281739
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT TUE MAY 28 2013

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED
ABOUT 120 MILES SOUTH OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO IS BECOMING BETTER
DEFINED...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD BE FORMING. THIS SYSTEM
HAS A HIGH CHANCE...90 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
BEFORE IT REACHES THE COAST OF MEXICO IN A DAY OR SO. INTERESTS
ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM...AS TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS
COULD BE REQUIRED WITH LESS THAN THE NORMAL AMOUNT OF LEAD TIME.
REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...HEAVY RAINS ARE LIKELY OVER PARTS OF
SOUTHERN MEXICO AND WESTERN CENTRAL AMERICA DURING THE NEXT FEW
DAYS. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND
MUD SLIDES.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN DISORGANIZED IN ASSOCIATION WITH AN
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 850 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE
SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENNISULA.  ANY DEVELOPMENT OF
THIS SYSTEM SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR...AND IT HAS A LOW CHANCE...10
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI