000
ABPZ20 KNHC 281145
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT TUE MAY 28 2013

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY CONTINUES TO GRADUALLY INCREASE IN
ASSOCIATION WITH A NEARLY STATIONARY AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED
ABOUT 200 MILES SOUTH OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE
POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TODAY...AND HAS A
HIGH CHANCE...90 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE BEFORE IT
REACHES THE COAST OF MEXICO IN A DAY OR TWO.  INTERESTS ALONG THE
SOUTHEASTERN PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM...AS TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS COULD BE
REQUIRED WITH LESS THAN THE NORMAL AMOUNT OF LEAD TIME.  REGARDLESS
OF DEVELOPMENT...HEAVY RAINS ARE LIKELY OVER PARTS OF SOUTHERN
MEXICO AND WESTERN CENTRAL AMERICA DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.  THESE
RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 850 MILES SOUTH OF THE
SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENNISULA IS PRODUCING
DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  ANY DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR...AND IT HAS A LOW CHANCE...10
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI