000
ABPZ20 KNHC 171738
TWOEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT FRI MAY 17 2013

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE...ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF ALVIN...
CONTINUES TO PRODUCE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WELL
SOUTHWEST OF MAINLAND MEXICO.  ALTHOUGH THIS SYSTEM APPEARS TO HAVE
GAINED SOME ORGANIZATION DURING THE MORNING...SIGNIFICANT
REDEVELOPMENT DOES NOT APPEAR LIKELY DUE TO STRONG UPPER-LEVEL
WINDS.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE AGAIN DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES
WESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING 
THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BERG