000 ABPZ20 KNHC 140537 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1100 PM PDT WED OCT 13 2010 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED ABOUT 1400 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A SURFACE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE. DEVELOPMENT IN THIS AREA... IF ANY...IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR...AND THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF THE SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN