000 ABPZ20 KNHC 132341 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 500 PM PDT WED OCT 13 2010 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. A SURFACE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE IS PRODUCING AN AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED ROUGHLY 1400 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. ANY DEVELOPMENT IN THIS AREA IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR...AND THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF THE SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE