000 ABPZ20 KNHC 282357 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 500 PM PDT TUE SEP 28 2010 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DIMINISHED THIS EVENING IN ASSOCIATION WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES WEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE ONLY MARGINALLY FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT...AND THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT DRIFTS SOUTHEASTWARD. DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC ARE ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY..OF THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS IT DRIFTS EASTWARD DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS/BEVEN