000 ABPZ20 KNHC 210601 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1100 PM PDT MON SEP 20 2010 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED ABOUT 100 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH AND IS ACCOMPANIED BY GALE-FORCE WINDS. HOWEVER...THE ASSOCIATED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY REMAINS MINIMAL AT THIS TIME. WHILE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS DO NOT APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT...AN INCREASE IN THUNDERSTORMS WOULD LIKELY RESULT IN THE FORMATION OF A TROPICAL STORM. INTERESTS IN SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM AS A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...70 PERCENT... OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER BEVEN