000
ABPZ20 KNHC 202338
TWOEP 
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT MON SEP 20 2010

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED ABOUT 150 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF
THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD
AT 10 TO 15 MPH AND IS ACCOMPANIED BY WINDS TO GALE FORCE.  THIS
SYSTEM LACKS SUFFICIENT ORGANIZED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY TO BE
CLASSIFIED AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE AT THIS TIME.  ALTHOUGH
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS DO NOT APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR SIGNIFICANT
DEVELOPMENT...AN INCREASE IN THUNDERSTORMS WOULD LIKELY RESULT IN
THE FORMATION OF A TROPICAL STORM.  INTERESTS IN SOUTHERN BAJA
CALIFORNIA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM AS A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR THAT AREA TONIGHT OR EARLY
TUESDAY.  THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...70 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH