000 ABPZ20 KNHC 201753 TWOEP TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1100 AM PDT MON SEP 20 2010 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. SHOWER ACTIVITY CONTINUES IN ASSOCIATION WITH AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED A COUPLE OF HUNDRED MILES WEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT...BUT ONLY A SMALL INCREASE IN ORGANIZED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WOULD RESULT IN THE FORMATION OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY TO THE NORTHWEST OR NORTH-NORTHWEST OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS TOWARD COOLER WATERS...AND THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...50 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN